New ‘TRUMP’ Token Supplying 62% Odds of US President’s Reelection


U.S. President Donald Trump tweeted last calendar year he isn’t a huge admirer of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. 

They’re “not funds,” he wrote in July, indicating their price is “highly unstable and primarily based on skinny air.”

Now, crypto traders outside the U.S. can make their feelings identified – and perhaps some funds – on the 45th U.S. president. This 7 days a electronic token, Trump 2020 with the symbol TRUMP, released courtesy of cryptocurrency exchange FTX.

FTX states the new token will get the job done like a futures contract, allowing traders to just take extended positions (Trump wins) or short types (whole loser).

“TRUMP expires to $1 if Donald Trump wins the 2020 U.S. presidential common election, and $ normally,” FTX states in a submitting on its website. 

Some on line web-sites, such as Oddschecker.com, have set up venues to wager on the coming election, which is shaping up to be historic: Trump is anticipated to be the to start with incumbent president to confront voters adhering to an impeachment trial. The president was acquitted Wednesday by the Republican-controlled U.S. Senate of impeachment articles introduced by the Democratic-controlled House of Reps. 

But the new FTX contract may well symbolize the crypto industry’s to start with try to hard cash in on the polarized voter local weather encompassing Trump’s 2020 potential clients. 

Theoretically, the token’s selling price should really track approximately in line with the perceived odds of a Trump victory. 

“If you feel there is a 52 percent chance of Trump winning, then TRUMP should really trade at $.52,” according to FTX. “Buying underneath there would be excellent, as would providing above $.52.”

The token, which went stay earlier this 7 days, is at present buying and selling at 62 cents following Trump’s acquittal, implying a 62 percent chance he’ll get 4 a lot more many years in Washington.

FTX is owned by a mother or father business primarily based in Antigua and Barbuda, according to the firm’s website. It really is led by Sam Bankman-Fried. His LinkedIn profile demonstrates him to be a former trader with the New York-primarily based firm Jane Street who jumped into the crypto industry in 2017. He’s now primarily based in Hong Kong. 

For traders leery of the pitfalls of unstable crypto marketplaces, FTX posts a warning on the binary nature of the TRUMP token’s greatest payoff: Price tag swings may well be even a lot more unstable than the notoriously up-now, down-now bitcoin. (Bitcoin is up 36 percent so much this calendar year to about $9,800, following the selling price virtually doubled in 2019.)

“The danger profile of TRUMP is distinctive from BTC,” according to the website. “It has considerably greater probabilities of making a substantial shift (to $ or $1).”

Addressing the potential for irregularities in the common election, the new TRUMP token comes with phrases mapping out a contingency prepare if the final results are muddy and Trump refuses to go away workplace: “In the event that some set of electoral votes are not able to be projected” and it is not possible to decide the winner, “this contract will settle to $1 if Donald Trump is however president on February 1st, 2021, and $ normally.” 

Disclosure Examine Much more

The leader in blockchain news, CoinDesk is a media outlet that strives for the greatest journalistic standards and abides by a strict set of editorial policies. CoinDesk is an impartial functioning subsidiary of Digital Currency Team, which invests in cryptocurrencies and blockchain startups.